Papers and Publications

Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure.
American Economic Review, conditionally accepted, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Kaveh Majlesi. [Appendix: A Note on the 2016 Presidential Election].

Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation: Evidence from U.S. Patents.
American Economic Review: Insights, forthcoming, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson, Gary Pisano and Pian Shu. [Online Appendix].

The Fall of the Labor Share and the Rise of Superstar Firms.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(2): 645-709, with David Autor, Lawrence Katz, Christina Patterson and John Van Reenen. [Online Appendix].

When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage-Market Value of Young Men.
American Economic Review: Insights, 1(2): 161-178, 2019, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.
[Online Appendix].

Commentary: The Impact of Trade on Inequality in Developed Countries.
Proceedings of the Jackson Hole Symposium, 115-128, 2017.

Concentrating on the Fall of the Labor Share.
American Economic Review, P&P, 107(5): 180-185, 2017, with David Autor, Lawrence Katz, Christina Patterson and John Van Reenen.

The China Shock: Learning from Labor Market Adjustment to Large Changes in Trade.
Annual Review of Economics, 8: 205-240, 2016, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s.
Journal of Labor Economics, 34(S1): S141-S198, 2016, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price.

Untangling Trade and Technology: Evidence from Local Labour Markets.
Economic Journal, 125(584), 621-646, 2015, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

The Rise of the Machines: How Computers Have Changed Work.
UBS Center Public Paper, 4, 2015. [Version in French][Version in Spanish].

Trade Adjustment: Worker Level Evidence.
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(4), 1799-1860, 2014, with David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Jae Song. [Online Appendix].

Return of the Solow Paradox? IT, Productivity and Employment in U.S. Manufacturing.
American Economic Review, P&P, 104(5), 394-399, 2014, with Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Gordon Hanson and Brendan Price. [Online Appendix].

The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States.
American Economic Review, 103(6), 2121-2168, 2013, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.
[Online Appendix].

The Growth of Low Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the U.S. Labor Market.
American Economic Review, 103(5), 1553-1597, 2013, with David Autor. [Online Appendix].

The Geography of Trade and Technology Shocks in the United States.
American Economic Review, P&P, 103(3), 220-225, 2013, with David Autor and Gordon Hanson.

This Job Is 'Getting Old:' Measuring Changes in Job Opportunities Using Occupational Age Structure.
American Economic Review, P&P, 99(2), 45-51, 2009, with David Autor.

Price and Prejudice: The Interaction between Preferences and Incentives in the Dynamics of Racial Segregation. Working Paper, 2010.

'Voluntary' and 'Involuntary' Early Retirement: An International Analysis.
Applied Economics 42(4): 427-438, 2010, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Direct Democracy and Life Satisfaction Revisited: New Evidence for Switzerland.
Journal of Happiness Studies 9(2): 227-251, 2008, with Justina Fischer, Gebhard Kirchgässner and Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Is It Culture or Democracy? The Impact of Democracy and Culture on Happiness.
Social Indicators Research 82(3): 505-526, 2007, with Justina Fischer, Gebhard Kirchgässner and Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

The Determinants of Early Retirement in Switzerland.
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 141(2): 247-283, 2005, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.

Why is the Employment Rate of Older Swiss so High? An Institutional Analysis.
Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance 28: 652-674, 2003, with Alfonso Sousa-Poza.